US Box Office Predictions for Jan. 28-30, 2011

For the fourth week in a row, 2011 will submit to the greatness of Avatar. This week aims to gross about $30-$50M lower than the same weekend last year. To add insult to the injury, the predicted number 1 movie for this week is...

Here’s the lucky 7:

The Rite starring Anthony Hopkins

1.) The Rite – $16.0M – does anyone even know that this movie was being released? If this really opens at number one, then I guess January is the dumpsite of awful movies. Want proof? Not a single nationwide released movie has reached 50% on RottenTomatoes this month. The Green Hornet is closest with 48%. FYI, Anthony Hopkins is in this movie.

2.) The Mechanic – $13.6M – This looks similar to Crank, and Death Race, and all has Jason Statham in them. CBS Films are in a losing streak right now, with their debut release Extraordinary Measures being a flop, and Faster barely breaking even. This movie could add a few bucks to their bank at least until they can find a Twilight-esque film like Summit Entertainment.

3.) No Strings Attached – $11.3M – I have a feeling this would drop lower than expected due to tepid reviews and so-so word-of-mouth, but being the only rom-com showing in theaters (other than Blue Valentine), No Strings Attached should drop a little less than 50%.

4.) The Green Hornet – $10.1M – The Green Hornet should ease up a little bit more this weekend. The movie is currently number one in the international market, which is good news for the studio.

5.) The King’s Speech – $7.6M – Once again, they’re in the top five. This should be the smallest dropper for the weekend, having received 12 nominations for the 2011 Oscars. It even beat The Social Network, the movie they expected to be at the top. In any case, the race for Best Picture is surely heating up

6.) True Grit – $6.9M – According to critics, True Grit has a 100 to 1 odds of winning Best Picture. Hey, at least they earned an Oscar nod! If True Grit continues its pace, it will beat Little Fockers’ gross within 10 days. Good job!

7.) Black Swan – $5.6M – I really can’t wait to watch this movie. I really can’t wait to watch the lesbian scene! Other than that, I’m not so sure. Haha.

Stay tuned next week to find out the results!

For the fourth week in a row, 2011 will submit to the greatness of Avatar. This week aims to gross about $30-$50M lower than the same weekend last year. To add insult to the injury, the predicted number 1 movie for this week is...

 

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