Box Office Predictions for April 1-3, 2011

2011 is now behind 2010’s pace by $600M, just saying. What’s worse is that April doesn’t actually have anything great to offer us that could help close that gap. We’re gonna have to wait for May/June for that one to possibly happen.

Last Week’s Box Office Mojo Derby Rank: 0 with 0% accuracy (forgot to join the contest, hehe)


1.) HOP – $30.0M – G-Force opened with $25M, Yogi Bear $20M and Alvin and the Chipmunks at $40M. Hop is kind of similar. Live-action mixed with a CG-animation usually attracts the kids, so I guess it’s a sure lock at number 1.

2.) SOURCE CODE – $20.0M – But hey, just because you’re poised to open at number 1 doesn’t mean you will. We learned that last week when Wimpy Kid pulled an upset over Sucker Punch. I’m playing safe though, as this movie starring Jake Gyllenhall could have a lower opening. But it has a VERY fresh 91% rating on Rotten Tomatoes, which will help boost sales.

3.) Diary of A Wimpy Kid 2: Rodrick Rules – $11.5M – I’m guessing book-readers have already watched this in its first weekend, which means that this movie will probably have a steep drop this week, much like the original.

4.) INSIDIOUS$11.0M – most guys at the derby feel like this movie’s gonna bomb. Well, my response is…NO. This actually has a pretty nice schedule. It has been a while since a horror movie opened, and it has 2400 theaters (outstanding considering it’s an independent film). They’re banking on the “From the writer of SAW and producers of Paranormal Activity” in the ads, which will help them achieve decent success

5.) Limitless – $10.3M – I feel like Source Code will push them even lower this week, but then again it could be the opposite. Congratulations to Bradley Cooper!

6.) Sucker Punch – $9.0M – I have a feeling this movie will be forgotten after a few months. Not only did it bomb at the US, it also posted abysmal ticket sales from the international market except the Asian market (It opened #2 in the Philippines), bad news for Zack Snyder

7.) The Lincoln Lawyer – $7.9M – It’s kind of nice seeing good movies in theaters this week, January and February were horrible months.


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