Box Office Predictions For April 8-10, 2011

Bad news is that April doesn’t have any “major” blockbuster movie up in its sleeves. Good news is that the number of April movies for 2011 have shot up from last year. 4 movies will open this week, and even though none of them really has a shot in cracking the $20M mark in their first weekend, they can still help bolster ticket sales for the time being.

Last Week’s Box Office Mojo Derby Rank: 158 with 78.342% Accuracy

1.) Hop – $23.5M – Over the past 2 weeks I have underestimated the power of children at the box office, but I won’t make the same mistake this week. I’m rooting for Hop to repeat! Here’s a fun question, Hop and Rio opens today in the Philippines, if you were given a choice, which movie would you watch? (I’d go for Rio)

Arthur

2.) ARTHUR – $16.0M – Russell Brand will probably take the top two spots this week. The last person to score two top 5 films in one week is Natalie Portman with Black Swan and No Strings Attached. Unfortunately, Arthur has an abysmal 7% rating at RottenTomatoes, which won’t help them at all in the following weeks.

 

Your Highness

3.) YOUR HIGHNESS – $15.5M – A mixture of good and bad, Your Highness will be the toughest one to predict this week. I’m going for the mid-$10M range because I don’t think it will garner much attention like Scary Movie, but Natalie Portman and James Franco could prevent this one from losing money. They could even soar to number 1, who knows?

 

Hanna

4.) HANNA – $9.4M – This movie pretty much has all the elements that make up a good action movie: good reviews and good performances. The only problem is the lack of publicity and star power. Plus, it’s only the 3rd largest opening this week. There are plenty of movies to choose from and I doubt Hanna would be the moviegoers’ first choice. Too bad.

5.) SOUL SURFER – $9.0M – I didn’t feature this in my previous article due to a couple of reasons. First, the lack of buzz (Though Carrie Underwood and Dennis Quaid are here), and second, because I didn’t know people wanted to watch this. I heard that this movie was inspired by a true story, and that the main character was supposed to be ‘famous’ in the states. I don’t have a clue about it, but I hope Hanna could gain more attention. A $9.0M opening isn’t bad either

6.) Source Code – $7.7M – I don’t think Jake Gyllenhall will have the same success as Bradley Cooper. Yes, this movie has a higher rating, but the problem is that there are too many movies out this week that Source Code may have not a chance to hold on in its second week.

7.) Insidious – $6.4M – Wrapping up the top 7 is this horror flick, which has the privilege of having no competition in its genre. Since the movie already passed its production budget, I guess we’ll be seeing Insidious 2 sometime in 2012.

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