Box Office Predictions for June 10-12, 2011

It’s SUPER 8 weekend! The most mysterious and riskiest movie out this summer. My favorite director, J.J. Abrams may have done a bold move by keeping the identity of the “moster” in the movie hidden until it’s unleashed in theaters, but it also has a chance to backfire.

Here are my top 7. If you’re wondering why Judy Moody and the NOT Bummer Summer isn’t on the list, that’s because I’m going against the norm and putting it in 8th place because apparently not a lot of people are aware that Midnight In Paris is expanding to 900+ theaters.

Last Week’s Box Office Mojo Derby Rank: 188 (down 129 spots from last week) with 79.029% Accuracy (down 3.181%)

According to Box Office Mojo, here are my stats: Average Rank: 236.9, Overall Accuracy: 77.39%.

1.) SUPER 8 – $45.2M – Looks like this week will earn slightly less than the same weekend last year, when Karate Kid overperformed while The A-Team did the exact opposite. Hopefully, curious peeps will unexpectedly storm in theaters to catch this one, because rival studios claim that tracking for this Abrams-Spielberg tandem is a little soft.

2.) X-Men: First Class – $25.5M – Sure, it’s the best movie among the five, but that disappointing opening won’t ensure a sequel for this one. No X-Men movie has dropped less than 50% in the past decade, even the first X-Men, which is actually a fan favorite. Here’s hoping word-of-mouth will help this movie bounce back next week.

3.) The Hangover Part III – $15.2M – Since it’s nearing the $200M mark, I guess another sequel will be in the works, but not because it’s necessary, hardly every big movie does that nowadays. Just another cash cow for the studio. I wish they make the third one better though, because I don’t think people will buy the “same plot, new location” move next time.

4.) Kung Fu Panda 2 – $13.2M – It will have reached $100M a day after I finish writing this one. Congrats. But when your predecessor is nearing $200M during this point is kinda disappointing.

5.) Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides  – $8.8M – This one too will reach $200M by next week, but The Hangover Part II will do that much faster. But what does the studio care? No one will be screaming “abandon ship” for another sequel anyway. Sigh, sequels…

6.) Bridesmaids – $8.8M – Who would’ve thought that this film can beat Pirates this weekend? Sure, the two movies have a $70M difference in their opening weekends; and Pirates will end up earning a lot more than Bridesmaids. But in the end, good plot + low expectations managed to win in the long run.

7.) Midnight In Paris – $8.1M – No Joody Moody in the Top 7 this week. At least I didn’t have to upload the poster again. Critics murdered Judy Moody, 14% on Rotten Tomatoes! Win-win for this movie!

What about you? Think that Not Bummer Summer has what it takes to land in the top 7? COMMENT!

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