Box Office Predictions for July 15-17, 2011 (Harry Potter Weekend!)

Tick… tock… tick… tock…Everyone is hoping that time will go faster as the most anticipated movie of the year will finally be unleashed in what seems to be the biggest nationwide release ever (both domestically and internationally) for a Harry Potter movie. The nationwide phenomenon ends with this one; some people even want to catch it during its final run just to delay the impending conclusion of this franchise.

And of course, epic endings are always accompanied by broken records. That’s why I believe HP 7 Part 2 will give The Dark Knight a run for its money. Potter has already shattered many records even before its release, so I think it will be no sweat for this weekend to crush the same weekend last year.

Last Week’s Box Office Mojo Derby Rank: 104 (up 272 spots from last week) with 89.731% Accuracy (up 27.188%)

1.) HARRY POTTER AND THE DEATHLY HALLOWS PART 2 – $160.0M  It’s the highest-rated movie of the franchise (97% at RottenTomatoes, blimey!), it’s in 3D, and it’s heavily frontloaded. Yes, it could beat The Dark Knight’s opening weekend record, but only by the smallest of margins. Will it be good enough to keep the fans watching this film over and over again? The re-playability of this film is high, since it’s the last one. 2011 will either be ruled by the Autobots or the Boy who lived. And I feel like it’s going to be the latter who will prevail when the year ends.

2.) Transformers: Dark of The Moon – $20.5M – This film who looked so colossal when it first debuted suddenly became miniscule compared to Harry and the gang. HP will also steal half a million audiences from this film so I guess a steeper drop is expected for this one.

3.) Horrible Bosses – $15.1M – This on the other hand is fortunate enough to be focusing on a different demographic, which will help it from any threat posed by the new releases this week. BTW, When I say new releases, I meant HP and Winnie The Pooh!

4.) Winnie The Pooh – $11.5M – There’s so much hype for the Deathly Hallows that I think most people are not even aware that there’s a brand new Winnie The Pooh film out this week! This movie brings back childhood memories and retains its classic cartoon style and characters. Unfortunately, Disney made a wrong move by pitting it against a behemoth; although it could have legs and end up with a pretty decent run.

5.) Zookeeper – $10.2M – This will not incur the benefits of Horrible Bosses this week. By now I would assume that people who have watched this have already told their friends not to catch this film. But still, more than a million Americans will be fooled this week, and there’s nothing else that we could do.

6.) Cars 2 – $7.8M – A few extra million and this could reach $200M, which will be good news for Pixar, even if it isn’t as much as they previously earn.

7.) Bad Teacher – $5.1M – Rounding out the top 7 is Bad Teacher, a film that I would like to watch but I never had the opportunity (or resources) to see it in theaters.


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