Box Office Results July 22-24, 2011

And the winner is….CAPTAIN AMERICA! It didn’t turn out to be a tight race as I expected. Harry Potter and the Dealthly Hallows Part 2 suffered a humongous 71% drop this week! But don’t be alarmed, it’s already on track to become the highest grossing movie of the franchise. Captain America on the other hand has overtaken Thor’s $65.7M opening record to have the biggest opening weekend of 2011 for a superhero movie. However, both films are within 100K from each other, so it would be best to wait until final numbers come out.

My seven week-streak ends here.

Number One Movie Predicted Correctly: 0 Weeks in a Row (yeah baby!)

Number of Times I Nailed the Top 7: 5

1.) THE FIRST AVENGER: CAPTAIN AMERICA – Sorry for being late, WordPress was experiencing lots of errors earlier. Anyway, let’s congratulate Captain America for defeating Thor by a mere hundred thousand. I heard attendance for this one is 9% higher than Thor because less people caught this one in 3D.

Predicted Outcome: Rank 2, $66.0M

Actual Gross: $65.8M

Total Gross: $65.8M


2.) Harry Potter and The Deathly Hallows Part 2 – Movies who bleed by more than 60% are usually considered as bad. This one is an exception though. This probably earned $120M less because millions of fans were eager to pay a hefty price to catch it during the opening week. Now that’s what I call an inelastic demand!

Predicted Outcome: Rank 1, $67.6M

Actual Gross: $48.1M

Total Gross: $274.2M


3.) FRIENDS WITH BENEFITS – Not even two good actors could lift this movie above $20M. I guess people had enough of this type of story after No Strings Attached premiered last January. Too bad.

Predicted Outcome: Rank 3, $20.0M

Actual Gross: $18.5M

Total Gross: $18.5M


4.) Transformers: Dark of the Moon – It’s been declining steadily for the past two weeks now. Now I’m starting to doubt whether or not Harry Potter could actually overtake this one.

Predicted Outcome: Rank 5, $10.2M

Actual Gross: $12.0M

Total Gross: $325.8M


5.) Horrible Bosses – I’m having an off-week today because right now I’ve only placed one movie correctly in the top seven. Hopefully the last two can save me.

Predicted Outcome: Rank 4, $10.8M

Actual Gross: $11.7M

Total Gross: $82.4M


6.) Zookeeper – Booyah! I’m 2 for 6! While I don’t like to talk about this film, I have to thank it for helping me save my reputation.

Predicted Outcome: Rank 6, $7.7M

Actual Gross: $8.7M

Total Gross: $59.2M


7.) Cars 2 – The guys over at ropeofsilicon believe that this film can’t crack $200M, so the best option for Cars 2 is to earn at least $15M more so that it won’t end up becoming the lowest grossing Pixar film of all time.

Predicted Outcome: Rank 7, $4.8M

Actual Gross: $5.7M

Total Gross: $176.4M


TOTAL SCORE: 3 out of 7, with a variance of $3.6857M per prediction


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