What’s up guys! I really really really miss writing here in my blog. I sincerely apologize for leaving you hanging two weeks ago with my box office predictions. To make up for it, I’ll be providing a recap from August 19 to September 1, although not much has changed except that almost all new releases tanked and total box office grosses were at an all time low.
Oh, and before I begin, just in case you haven’t seen it yet, please check out my official Facebook page and like it! I would really appreciate it!
AUGUST 19-21,2011 WEEKEND
Number One Movie Predicted Correctly: 3 Weeks in a Row
Number of Times I Nailed the Top 7: 5
1.) The Help – The Help held so well it overtook Rise of the Planet of the Apes in its second weekend and stayed there for two weeks. It just crossed the $100M mark, an unexpected feat, continuing Emma Stone’s recent winning streak in her young career.
Predicted Outcome: Rank 1, $18.0M
Actual Gross: $20.0M
2.) Rise of the Planet of the Apes – I was expecting three new movies to defeat the Apes this weekend, but the Apes conquered them all and managed to bleed by only 42%, a very nice result considering the last movie didn’t have good word-of-mouth. Still, it switched places with The Help and lost the top spot.
Predicted Outcome: Rank 5, $15.3M
Actual Gross: $16.1M
3.) SPY KIDS 4D: ALL THE TIME IN THE WORLD – Even the 4th dimension couldn’t save this gimmick-ridden franchise. I used to love these types of movies when I was a kid. Those blue-red 3D glasses were cool! Last time I checked though, the movie had great reviews. This one? Uhm, not so much.
Predicted Outcome: Rank 4, $16.5M
Actual Gross: $11.6M
4.) CONAN THE BARBARIAN – Although Jason Momoa was badass in Game of Thrones, I couldn’t see anyone who wanted to see him chop off his enemies for 90 minutes without a good script accompanying it. It was lucky enough to earn $10M.
Predicted Outcome: Rank 3, $17.8M
Actual Gross: $10.0M
5.) The Smurfs – I don’t think Sony was all that surprised with how well this flick has been performing. In fact, I bet they lied about expecting a mid-teen opening for this one. It cost $110M to make and it earned $25M in its opening weekend. A solid effort, but they shouldn’t say that this one was a surprise hit.
Predicted Outcome: Rank 6, $8.9M
Actual Gross: $7.8M
6.) FRIGHT NIGHT – Even The Smurfs outgrossed this movie in its opening weekend. And to think that I expected this one to reach #2. Dang, now my ranking’s all messed up. Good thing I won’t be 1 for 7 for August 19-21. Why? Because….
Predicted Outcome: Rank 2, $17.9M
Actual Gross: $7.7M
7.) Final Destination 5 – is at number 7. Whew, I almost lost my reputation there. So what if I get numbers 2 to 6 wrong? At least I got the first and the last right!
Predicted Outcome: Rank 7, $8.7M
Actual Gross: $7.7M
TOTAL SCORE: 2 out of 7, with a variance of $3.97142M per prediction
AUGUST 26-28 WEEKEND RESULTS
1.) The Help – $14.5M – Amidst another week of weak new releases, Disney’s The Help retained the crown by default, becoming only the 6th movie to win back-to-back weekends. At this point, the movie was only $4M away from breaching the century mark.
2.) COLUMBIANA – $10.4M – TriStar’s (which is coincidentally owned by Sony/Columbia) Columbiana performed better than expected in its opening week. But a very poor opening by another film offset it. We’ll talk about that later.
3.) Rise of the Planet of the Apes – $8.9M – It’s been going down steadily since its release. It dropped by 45% this week, proving once again that this one has been the talk of the town despite six movies premiering in the past two weeks.
4.) DON’T BE AFRAID OF THE DARK – $8.5M – My bet is that this one wasn’t marketed that well. Katie Holmes has been losing steam since marrying Tom Cruise. And with this one underperforming…tsk x3.
5.) OUR IDIOT BROTHER – I have no idea what this movie is all about. Nevertheless, given its miniscule $5M budget I guess we could call this a financial winner. The movie stars Zooey Deschanel by the way.
6.) Spy Kids: All The Time In The World – $6.0M – Less than a million people flocked to the theaters to experience aromascope. Note to 3D movies without marketing: People don’t want to waste their money with you.
7.) The Smurfs – $4.7M – No comment.
Stay tuned! I’ll be posting my “late” box office predictions for September 2-5 in a separate entry!