Box Office Results: November 4-6, 2011 [PUSS SAVES THE WEEKEND]

Nobody expected Puss to takeover the box office for the second weekend in a row. Although its weekend gross is a lot higher than what I had expected, the reason it won can ultimately be blamed on Tower Heist’s unimpressive debut.

Number One Movie Predicted Correctly: 0 Weeks in a Row

Number of Times I Nailed the Top 7: 5

#1 MOVIE THIS WEEK – Puss In Boots (2nd week) – It was pummeled by a storm which hit the US during its opening weekend; but it survived and managed to drop only 3.1% this week, an excellent hold considering the last nationwide film to do that opened 11 years ago. While its total gross so far is nothing to brag about, it’s still poised to do well next week which will benefit the film in the long run.

Predicted Gross: Rank 2, $21.6M /Actual Gross: $33.0M (-3.1%)

Total Gross: $75.5M


#2 – TOWER HEIST (1st Week) – Although tracking for this film put its projected gross in the high 20’s or low 30’s, people didn’t seem to flock the theaters. It’s $25.1M opening was far worse than Ben Stiller and Eddie Murphy’s previous works (Norbit, Little Fockers), but those numbers are hardly disappointing.

Predicted Gross: Rank 1, $27.5M /Actual Gross: $25.1M

Total Gross: $25.1M


#3 – A VERY HAROLD AND KUMAR 3D CHRISTMAS (1st Week) – Despite having 92% of the people view it in 3D, H&K failed to outperform its predecessor on opening week. However, Christmas-themed movies usually perform well leading into the holiday so it could end up being the highest-grossing film in the franchise.

Predicted Gross: Rank 3, $17.5M /Actual Gross: $13.1M

Total Gross: $13.1M


As for the rest, Paranormal Activity, In Time, Footloose and Reel Steel bagged 4th, 5th, 6th, and 7th place respectively. The only film I didn’t include in my top 7 was Reel Steel, though I might have underestimated In Time and Footloose.

Here’s the rest of the top 7:

#4 – Paranormal Activity 3 (3rd Week)

Predicted Gross: Rank 4, $8.2M /Actual Gross: $8.5M (-53%)

Total Gross: $13.1M


#5 – In Time (2nd Week)

Predicted Gross: Rank 5, $5.9M /Actual Gross: $7.7M (-36%)

Total Gross: $24.2M


#6 – Footloose (4th Week)

Predicted Gross: Rank 6, $3.1M /Actual Gross: $4.5M (-17%)

Total Gross: $44.8M


#7 – Reel Steel (5th Week)

Predicted Gross: Rank N/A /Actual Gross: $3.4M (-29%)

Total Gross: $78.7M


TOTAL SCORE: 4 out of 7, with a variance of $3.58571M per prediction

Total Weekend Gross: $113M, down $39M from the same weekend last year (Megamind was #1)

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