Box Office Results: November 18-20, 2011 [TWILIGHT STILL A BEHEMOTH]

The Twilight Saga may be the most ridiculed movie adaptation of the century, but its loyal fanbase sure is enormous. Not only did it open at #1, it also managed to boost box office grosses by 12% from the same weekend last year! However, it wasn’t able to top New Moon’s $142M record, which means the result was dead on with my prediction!

Number One Movie Predicted Correctly: 1 Week in a Row

Number of Times I Nailed the Top 7: 5

#1 MOVIE THIS WEEK – THE TWILIGHT SAGA: BREAKING DAWN (1st Week) – Remember last week when I said I would quit blogging if I guessed the #1 movie wrong? So to all the haters, I’m sorry to say you’re going to have to endure my writing. I was also only about $0.5M shy of the actual gross, which is rare considering the margin of error is huge.

Moving on, Breaking Dawn now holds the record for the 5th Biggest Opening Weekend ever, behind New Moon and pushing back Dead Man’s Chest in the process. That’s insanely high for a film that has a 25% Fresh rating over at RottenTomatoes. If that’s the case, then this phenomenon of a franchise really is unavoidable to the point that those who hate the franchise would still watch the movie to poke fun at it while the fangirls squeal with joy over their favorite actors.

Predicted Gross: Rank 1, $140M /Actual Gross: $139.5M

Total Gross: $139.5M

#2 – HAPPY FEET TWO (1st Week) – It is by sheer observation that I conclude that 3D and Animation don’t mix. The sequel of the Oscar-winning movie had a very bad start this weekend, which does not bode well for the film. For one, it’s a family movie but those higher ticket prices are a burden to parents. But a bigger reason could be that families avoided watching this week due to theaters being flooded by Twihards. Or maybe it’s just that it’s not a good movie. Whatever the reason is, it’s bad news for animated films in general. Puss in Boots managed to hold very well in the past three weeks, maybe this one can too heading into December (It’ll face heavy competition against The Muppets next week though)

Predicted Gross: Rank 2, $40.0M /Actual Gross: $22.0M (not even close)

Total Gross: $22.0M


#3 – Immortals (2nd Week) – Last Week’s champion suffered an early descent by crashing 62% from last week. Considering its strong start I’m not surprised by the result and frankly I have to say it’s not performing as well as Relativity had wanted.

Predicted Gross: Rank 3, $14.5M /Actual Gross: $12.3M (62.0%)

Total Gross: $52.9M


#4 – Jack and Jill (2nd Week) Adam Sandler’s latest outing bled as much as You Don’t Mess With The Zohan, but it still fared worse than his previous works.

Predicted Gross: Rank 5, $12.0M /Actual Gross: $12.0M (Booyah!) (-52.0%)

Total Gross: $41.0M


#5 – Puss in Boots (4th Week) – In its fourth weekend in theaters, Puss still mustered enough energy to rake in more than $10M. It has now earned $122M, almost FOUR times its opening gross. Yep, that’s how great movies perform.

Predicted Gross: Rank 4, $12.2M /Actual Gross: $10.7M (-56.6%)

Total Gross: $122.3M


#6 – Tower Heist (3rd week)

Predicted Gross: Rank 6, $6.2M /Actual Gross: $7.0M (-45.2%)

Total Gross: $53.4M


#7 – J. Edgar – (2nd Week) – Performed normally. Toldja

Predicted Gross: Rank 7, $6.1M /Actual Gross: $5.9M (-47.4%)

Total Gross: $20.7M


TOTAL SCORE: 5 out of 7, with a variance of $3.31428 per prediction

Total Weekend Gross: $218M, up $24M from the same weekend last year (Deathly Hallows Part 1 seized #1)


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