Box Office Results: December 23-25, 2011 [MI:4 Dominates Christmas Weekend]

My apologies for being a couple of days late, but I wanted to wait for more accurate grosses so that I won’t have to edit the numbers and misinform you later on. Most sites reported a lower box office total when early estimates came out. As it turned out, families wanted to spend Christmas in the movies! Movies ended up at most $3M higher as a result.

This is actually the first Box Office Results entry I made since December 4, so you may be surprised to know that I already nailed the top spot for six straight weeks. Nyaha!

[note: grosses are for the 3-day weekend]

Number One Movie Predicted Correctly: 6 Weeks in a Row

Number of Times I Nailed the Top 7: 5

#1 MOVIE THIS WEEK – Mission Impossible: Ghost Protocol (1st Week) – The film added 3,000 theaters and as a result went up by 130% from week-to-week. Still, if you add what it earned Monday its total haul would’ve looked much stronger.

Predicted Gross: Rank 1, $30.4M /Actual Gross: $29.5M (+130%)

Total Gross: $61.9M


#2 – Sherlock Holmes: A Game Of Shadows – It’s behind the original film by more than $50M as of today and it looks like it won’t even crack the $200M barrier. Warner Bros, maybe it’s time to back off from greenlighting sequels a little bit.

Predicted Gross: Rank 3, $18.1M /Actual Gross: $20.3M (-48.9%)

Total Gross: $79.0M

#3 – THE GIRL WITH THE DRAGON TATTOO – This one dropped to 4th place on Monday. Though I’m not really excited to catch this one, I’m a bit disappointed considering this was an adaptation of a bestselling novel which sold millions of copies worldwide. Hmm, we’ll see if it has legs.

Predicted Gross: Rank 2, $21.2M /Actual Gross: $12.8M

Total Gross: $21.1M


#4 – Alvin and the Chipmunks: Chipwrecked – It was a bad year for animated movies overall. Earlier I said that Sherlock trailed its predecessor by $50M right? Well right now Chipwrecked lags behind Squeakwel by more than $90M. Alvin went all in, but moviegoers folded early.

Predicted Gross: Rank 5, $13.4M /Actual Gross: $12.6M (-45.9%)

Total Gross: $49.5M


#5 – THE ADVENTURES OF TINTIN: SECRET OF THE UNICORN – Looks like most people in the US didn’t grow up reading the books where the movie was based on. There used to be a stack of Tintin novels over at my elementary school’s library…Ah, memories…

Predicted Gross: Rank 4, $13.5M /Actual Gross: $9.7M

Total Gross: $17.7M


#6 – WE BOUGHT A ZOO – Perhaps the most underwhelming opening of all was this pic starring Matt Damon and Scarlett Johansson. The low number doesn’t mean it’s a bad movie though, it’s just that it got overshadowed in the crowded marketplace.

Predicted Gross: Rank 6, $11.5M /Actual Gross: $9.4M

Total Gross: $9.4M


#7 – WAR HORSE – Probably the best result of the weekend! Steven Speilberg really hit the mark as War Horse opened in third place during its Christmas debut, and it ended up grabbing seventh place for the weekend despite having only one day to rake in the cash. Expect this one to hold on until the end of the Oscar season!

Predicted Gross: Rank 7, $5.1M /Actual Gross: $7.5M

Total Gross: $7.5M


The Darkest Hour also opened on Christmas Day with a better-than-expected $3M. It won’t have legs unfortunately.


TOTAL SCORE: 3 out of 7, with a variance of $2.9248 per prediction

Total Weekend Gross: $127M, down $12M from the same weekend last year


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